In the world of Vatican watchers and ecclesial speculation, the term papabile — a cardinal considered a realistic candidate for the papacy — is typically reserved for men under 75, often from the Global South, and with a charismatic international profile. But as the Catholic Church finds itself at yet another crossroads, some are daring to ask the unthinkable: Could Cardinal Jozef De Kesel, the emeritus archbishop of Mechelen-Brussels, be a serious contender to succeed Pope Francis?
At first glance, the answer seems obvious. De Kesel is 77 years old. He has faced significant health challenges, including a cancer diagnosis in 2020. And he retired from active pastoral leadership in 2022. But beneath the surface of these disqualifiers lies a deeper current — a convergence of theological integrity, pastoral wisdom, and geopolitical symbolism that could make the Belgian cardinal a dark horse with unexpected momentum.
A European Voice with Franciscan Clarity
De Kesel is no mere bureaucrat. A student of the influential theologian Edward Schillebeeckx and a former professor of fundamental theology, he combines a deep academic grounding with an unmistakably pastoral tone. His commitment to Vatican II principles, his nuanced positions on religious freedom, and his thoughtful engagement with secularism in Europe align him closely with the spirit of Francis.
In an era where the Church is struggling to bridge polarized camps — between doctrinal rigidity and pastoral openness — De Kesel embodies a middle path. He is progressive but not radical, deeply rooted in Catholic tradition yet unafraid to question the Church’s place in a rapidly secularizing Europe.
A Symbolic Election?
There’s more than theology at stake in a papal election. There’s symbolism. And here, De Kesel presents a compelling narrative.
Electing a pope from Belgium — a small country, yes, but also a crossroads of cultures, languages, and political complexity — would signal the Church’s recommitment to a pluralistic and democratic Europe. Belgium, home to both NATO and the European Union, is also a land where Catholicism is learning to survive not as a dominant power, but as a humble moral witness. In this, De Kesel has been a pioneer.
As president of the Belgian Bishops’ Conference, he managed the fallout of abuse scandals with rare transparency, defended religious minorities, and advocated for dialogue over confrontation. His voice resonates with Catholic intellectuals, but also with those who long for a papacy marked more by listening than commanding.
Age: A Barrier or a Blessing?
The most obvious obstacle remains his age. But Pope Francis himself was elected at 76 — and De Kesel, though slightly older, could represent a “bridge pope,” much like John XXIII, elected at 76 in 1958. John XXIII convened the Second Vatican Council. Could De Kesel be the one to solidify its implementation?
Moreover, in an age of instant media and fast decision-making, the Church may be drawn toward a man of maturity and reflection rather than a long-serving institutional manager. A shorter papacy, led by someone seen as a wise elder, could cool tensions within the College of Cardinals and open space for renewal.
Health and Transparency
Though he battled cancer in 2020, De Kesel returned to public ministry and continued to write, speak, and mentor. His openness about his illness has only added to his image as a transparent and human prelate. In a Church that has often hidden the frailty of its leaders, De Kesel’s humility could become a virtue, not a weakness.
Conclusion: Don’t Count Him Out
In conclaves past, longshot candidates have become pope. Karol Wojtyła was a surprise. Jorge Mario Bergoglio, even more so. If the cardinals walk into the Sistine Chapel looking not only for youth or charisma, but for balance, wisdom, and continuity with Francis — De Kesel may yet find his name whispered more than once.
In the Church, the Spirit moves in unexpected ways. And perhaps, just perhaps, it could move once more through a Belgian cardinal who thought his time had passed — only to find history knocking once again.
